Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Golub Capital BDC, Inc. is a business development company that provides financing solutions to middle-market companies in North America. The company operates as a closed-end investment fund focused on debt and equity investments across various industries.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, GBDC is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

GBDC currently ranks #156 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $13.19
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $11.65–$13.45

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: High
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for GBDC

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for GBDC, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $11.65–$13.45.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 54.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for GBDC
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent GBDC news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for GBDC is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

Golub Capital BDC - I Want To Hold It, But... (NASDAQ:GBDC) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-07)
TickrTrends take: GBDC trades in the Financial Services sector at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as overvalued, creating a tension between the company's operational appeal and its current market price. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should track whether upcoming earnings or dividend sustainability data narrows the gap between the stock's current price and its intrinsic value estimates. The headline's qualified tone reflects this common investor dilemma where business quality and valuation concerns pull in opposite directions.
Golub Capital BDC declares $0.33 distribution for fiscal Q4 2026 as it cites 25-50 bps wider spreads (NASDAQ:GBDC) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-05)
TickrTrends take: Golub Capital BDC's declaration of a quarterly distribution reflects the company's effort to maintain shareholder returns amid a challenging credit environment characterized by wider spreads. Given TickrTrends' assessment that GBDC is currently overvalued, investors should monitor whether the company's net investment income can sustain distributions at current levels as spread widening typically pressures portfolio yields for business development companies. The relationship between distribution sustainability and the underlying valuation multiple will be critical to watch as the BDC navigates tighter lending conditions in the coming quarters.

What people are saying

Follow the GBDC conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — GBDC's momentum indicator declined this week, moving from a C grade to no assigned grade, reflecting weakened price momentum in the stock. The company remains classified as overvalued according to current valuation metrics.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is GBDC stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), GBDC is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is GBDC's TickrTrends verdict?

GBDC's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does GBDC compare to other Financial Services stocks?

GBDC ranks #156 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is GBDC overbought or oversold?

GBDC's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

GBDC vs ACIC · GBDC vs COIN · GBDC vs FISI · GBDC vs GAIN · GBDC vs HAFC