Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
GSHD price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedGSHD is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $46.40
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $34.37–$78.37
- Market cap
- $1.66B
- From 52-week high
- -40.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 35.7M
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #1 of 167
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. is an online insurance agency that provides customers with quotes and coverage options for home, auto, life, and other insurance products from multiple carriers. The company operates primarily through its digital platform and serves customers across the United States.
GSHD currently ranks #1 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $1.66B
- P/E (trailing)
- 26x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $402M
- Net margin
- 8.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.81
- Gross margin
- 57.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 19.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 35.7M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 41 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $57.02
- 200-day average
- $52.03
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Dividend
- None in the last 12 months (last ex-date 2025-01-21)
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-09 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+61.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+85.0%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-15.8%)
2025-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-2.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+18.2%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+98.6%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+11.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 6 buy · 6 hold · 1 sell (13 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $62.1
- Target vs last price
- +33.8%
What our data shows for GSHD
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for GSHD, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $34.37–$78.37.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 41.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for GSHD
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent GSHD news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for GSHD is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- GSHD Maintained by Truist Securities -- Price Target Lowered to $48.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: Truist Securities' reduction of GSHD's price target to 48 dollars represents a modest downward adjustment for the Financial Services firm. Despite this lowering of expectations, TickrTrends' current assessment maintains that GSHD remains undervalued at present market levels, suggesting the analyst's revised target may still leave room for appreciation. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether this maintained rating reflects confidence in the company's fundamentals or if further analyst reviews might follow. - GSHD Maintained by Citizens -- Price Target Lowered to $80.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
TickrTrends take: Citizens has lowered its price target for GSHD to $80, which represents a maintained rating despite the reduction in the firm's valuation benchmark. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that GSHD trades as undervalued within the Financial Services sector, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this target adjustment reflects evolving fundamentals or merely a recalibration of the analyst's previous outlook. The gap between the new target and current trading levels will be an important reference point for assessing the credibility of the undervaluation thesis. - GSHD Downgraded by Piper Sandler -- Price Target Lowered to $48.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-06)
TickrTrends take: GSHD received a downgrade from Piper Sandler with a price target of $48, which creates an interesting tension with TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment of the Financial Services company. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the analyst's lower price target reflects broader fundamental concerns or represents a tactical pullback that could offer entry opportunities at depressed levels. The divergence between the downgrade and the undervalued verdict suggests tracking how the market digests this analyst revision and whether other data points align with either the bearish call or the valuation signal.
What people are saying
Follow the GSHD conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — GSHD's technical indicators showed a shift this week as the Relative Strength Index moved from oversold territory into neutral zone, suggesting reduced selling pressure on the Financial Services company. The stock maintains an undervalued status according to current valuation metrics. This combination of improving momentum alongside undervaluation positioning may reflect changing investor sentiment toward the security.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — GSHD's technical picture shifted this week as the 50/200-day trend state moved from uptrend to mixed, while the RSI zone declined from neutral to oversold territory. These changes suggest weakening momentum despite the stock's current undervalued status based on valuation metrics. The oversold RSI reading indicates the stock has experienced sharp downward pressure in the near term, which may present a contrarian signal for investors monitoring Financial Services sector opportunities.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is GSHD stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), GSHD is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is GSHD's TickrTrends verdict?
GSHD's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does GSHD compare to other Financial Services stocks?
GSHD ranks #1 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is GSHD overbought or oversold?
GSHD's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does GSHD pay a dividend?
GSHD has paid no dividend in the last twelve months; its last ex-dividend date on file was 2025-01-21.
When does GSHD report earnings next?
GSHD's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-09 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does GSHD usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters GSHD beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about GSHD?
Of 13 analysts covering GSHD, 6 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $62.1 (+33.8% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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