GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
GCMG price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedGCMG is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $12.56
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $9.45–$14.05
- Market cap
- $768M
- From 52-week high
- -10.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 61.1M
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #39 of 167
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
GCM Grosvenor Inc. is an alternative asset manager that provides investment and advisory services to institutional investors, including pension funds, endowments, and foundations. The company operates globally with offices across multiple regions including North America, Europe, and Asia.
GCMG currently ranks #39 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $768M
- P/E (trailing)
- 16x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $565M
- Net margin
- 7.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $0.81
- Gross margin
- 99.2%
- Debt / equity
- 16.30
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 3.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 61.1M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 43 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $13.23
- 200-day average
- $11.82
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.48 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 3.82%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-01
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-15
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▬ met (0.0%)
2026-03 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+29.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+6.3%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+7.7%)
2025-03 ▬ met (0.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+17.4%)
2024-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 4 buy · 1 hold · 0 sell (5 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $15.5
- Target vs last price
- +23.4%
What our data shows for GCMG
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for GCMG, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $9.45–$14.05.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 43.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for GCMG
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent GCMG news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for GCMG is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- GCMG Maintained by Piper Sandler -- Price Target Lowered to $14.50 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Piper Sandler's recent price target adjustment for GCMG reflects analyst reassessment of the company's near-term prospects within the Financial Services sector. TickrTrends' current undervalued designation suggests the market may not have fully priced in the company's fundamental value relative to the analyst's revised outlook. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the maintained rating, combined with the lower price target, indicates growing consensus around a more conservative earnings trajectory or if the gap between current market price and analyst target presents a potential opportunity worth investigating further. - GCM Grosvenor: Recurring Revenues Support A Growing Dividend (NASDAQ:GCMG) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-28)
TickrTrends take: GCMG operates in the Financial Services sector with a current TickrTrends valuation verdict of Undervalued. The company's recurring revenue base provides a foundation for sustaining and potentially growing its dividend payments, which represents a meaningful consideration for income-focused investors evaluating the stock's relative value. For valuation-conscious readers, the sustainability of dividend growth tied to recurring revenue streams should be monitored as a key metric in assessing whether the current undervalued assessment remains justified over time. - Is GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) Overvalued After 3.2% Rally? GF Value Says Overvalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-26)
TickrTrends take: GCMG has experienced a recent rally that prompted valuation questions, though TickrTrends currently classifies the stock as undervalued within the Financial Services sector. This divergence between different valuation assessments suggests investors should monitor whether the stock's recent price movement represents a sustainable shift in fundamental value or a temporary fluctuation that could reverse. Valuation-focused readers tracking GCMG should watch how the company's underlying financial metrics evolve to determine which assessment more accurately reflects the stock's intrinsic worth going forward.
More GCMG news
- GCMG Looks 5.5% Overvalued on GF Value™ as Dividend Sustainability Remains Key (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-25)
What people are saying
Follow the GCMG conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — GCMG's sector discount rank improved this week, moving from 54th to 42nd position among Financial Services companies. This indicates the stock has become relatively more attractive on a valuation basis compared to its peers in the sector, aligning with the current undervalued assessment.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — GCMG trades at a discount to its Financial Services sector peers. The company's sector discount rank declined this week, moving from 48th to 56th position, indicating a slight reduction in its relative valuation advantage within the industry. The stock maintains an undervalued designation despite this shift in its comparative standing.
- 2026-10-05 — GCMG's relative valuation position weakened this week as its sector discount rank declined from 44 to 49 among Financial Services companies. Despite this shift lower in the ranking, the stock maintains an undervalued verdict based on current valuation metrics. The company now ranks less favorably on discount measures within its peer group compared to the prior week.
- 2026-09-28 — GCMG's derived indicators show a shift this week as the 50/200-day trend state moved from uptrend to mixed. The current valuation verdict remains undervalued for this Financial Services sector company. This change in trend state suggests a moderation in the momentum that characterized the previous week's performance.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is GCMG stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), GCMG is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is GCMG's TickrTrends verdict?
GCMG's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does GCMG compare to other Financial Services stocks?
GCMG ranks #39 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is GCMG overbought or oversold?
GCMG's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does GCMG pay a dividend?
Yes. GCMG paid $0.48 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 3.82% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-01.
When does GCMG report earnings next?
GCMG's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04, per the published earnings calendar.
Does GCMG usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters GCMG beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about GCMG?
Of 5 analysts covering GCMG, 4 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $15.5 (+23.4% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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