The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
MIDD price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedMIDD is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $107.78
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $102.69–$179.20
- Market cap
- $4.87B
- From 52-week high
- -39.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 45.2M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #105 of 106
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The Middleby Corporation manufactures commercial foodservice equipment including ovens, fryers, griddles, and other cooking and warming equipment used in restaurants, foodservice facilities, and commercial kitchens. The company operates manufacturing facilities and sales offices across North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions worldwide.
MIDD currently ranks #105 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $4.87B
- P/E (trailing)
- 12x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.56B
- Net margin
- -13.2%
- EPS (TTM)
- $9.30
- Gross margin
- 38.3%
- Debt / equity
- 0.90
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -3.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 45.2M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 45 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $111.19
- 200-day average
- $139.57
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Dividend
- None in the last 12 months (last ex-date 2004-06-02)
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+3.1%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+11.3%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+6.6%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+14.5%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+5.4%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+5.6%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+14.2%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-6.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 9 buy · 2 hold · 0 sell (11 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $156
- Target vs last price
- +44.7%
What our data shows for MIDD
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MIDD, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $102.69–$179.20.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 45.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MIDD
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent MIDD news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MIDD is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) -- Strong Fundamentals Amidst Market Volatility | Ariel Mid Cap Value Q3 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-17)
TickrTrends take: MIDD operates in the Industrials sector where TickrTrends currently derives an Overvalued verdict based on its analysis. The headline's emphasis on strong fundamentals suggests the company maintains operational resilience, though this contrasts with the current overvaluation assessment that a value-focused investor would monitor. For those tracking valuation metrics, the gap between fundamental strength and current pricing warrants attention to whether conditions supporting the overvalued status persist or shift. - Commercial Foodservice Recovery Drives The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) Higher (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-15)
TickrTrends take: The Middleby Corporation operates in the Industrials sector where it serves the commercial foodservice equipment market. TickrTrends currently assigns an Overvalued verdict to MIDD, suggesting that gains from commercial foodservice recovery may already be reflected in the stock's current pricing. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether operational improvements from sector recovery can justify current price levels or whether mean reversion becomes a factor. - Commercial Foodservice Recovery Drives The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) Higher (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-15)
TickrTrends take: The Middleby Corporation operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as overvalued according to TickrTrends analysis. As commercial foodservice markets show recovery momentum, investors should monitor whether the company's revenue growth can justify its current valuation levels or if the stock price has moved ahead of fundamental improvements. For valuation-conscious investors, tracking the pace at which this recovery translates into earnings growth relative to the company's present valuation multiple will be critical to understanding whether the upward price movement represents sustainable value creation.
More MIDD news
- The Middleby Corporation at Jefferies Industrials Conference Transcript (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-10)
What people are saying
Follow the MIDD conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for MIDD show a shift in momentum this week, with the 50/200-day trend state moving from mixed to downtrend. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued. This transition to downtrend suggests weakening short-term price momentum relative to the longer-term trend in the Industrials sector stock.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is MIDD stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), MIDD is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is MIDD's TickrTrends verdict?
MIDD's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does MIDD compare to other Industrials stocks?
MIDD ranks #105 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is MIDD overbought or oversold?
MIDD's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does MIDD pay a dividend?
MIDD has paid no dividend in the last twelve months; its last ex-dividend date on file was 2004-06-02.
When does MIDD report earnings next?
MIDD's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05, per the published earnings calendar.
Does MIDD usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters MIDD beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about MIDD?
Of 11 analysts covering MIDD, 9 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $156 (+44.7% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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