Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Northrop Grumman Corporation is a defense and aerospace contractor that designs, manufactures, and integrates products and services for military, government, and commercial customers. The company operates globally with significant operations in the United States and maintains a presence in international markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, NOC is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

NOC currently ranks #41 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 2 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $514.98
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $532.91–$768.02

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range

What our data shows for NOC

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NOC, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $532.91–$768.02.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 35.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NOC
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent NOC news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NOC is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

BA Looks 0.6% Overvalued on GF Value™ Amid Mixed Signals (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-05)
TickrTrends take: Northrop Grumman operates in the same Industrials sector as Boeing, which TickrTrends currently identifies as overvalued based on GF Value analysis. Given that NOC carries an Undervalued designation while its sector peer BA shows overvaluation signals, investors focused on valuation metrics may want to monitor whether sector-wide pressures from Boeing's mixed fundamentals could eventually influence NOC's relative valuation standing. The divergence between these two major defense and industrials players suggests that company-specific factors are driving their distinct valuations rather than broad sector trends alone.
NOC Looks 6.3% Undervalued on GF Value™ Amid Strong Dividend Profile (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: Northrop Grumman's dividend strength provides a tangible return component that may support investor confidence in its current valuation positioning, particularly relevant given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment. For valuation-focused investors, the combination of a robust dividend profile with GF Value analysis suggesting downside protection creates a framework worth monitoring alongside typical industrial sector cyclicality and defense spending trends. The gap between intrinsic value estimates and market price represents the type of opportunity metric that typically warrants observation of earnings consistency and capital allocation decisions in coming quarters.
NOC Looks 6.3% Undervalued on GF Value™ as Dividend Remains Attractive (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Northrop Grumman operates in the Industrials sector where valuation metrics carry significant weight for investors focused on fundamental analysis. The company's current TickrTrends assessment as undervalued aligns with recent valuation analysis suggesting room between current market pricing and intrinsic value estimates. For readers monitoring valuation indicators, the combination of an undervalued assessment alongside the company's dividend profile presents a scenario worth tracking as market conditions and earnings fundamentals evolve.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for NOC showed notable movements this week. The DCF cross-check band shifted from an overvalued assessment to none, while the sector discount rank improved from 51 to 41 within the Industrials sector. The valuation verdict upgraded from Fairly valued to Undervalued, reflecting a more attractive positioning for the stock relative to its sector peers.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is NOC stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), NOC is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is NOC's TickrTrends verdict?

NOC's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does NOC compare to other Industrials stocks?

NOC ranks #41 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is NOC overbought or oversold?

NOC's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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