PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

PriceSmart, Inc. operates membership-based warehouse clubs that offer bulk groceries, household goods, and merchandise to shoppers across Latin America and the Caribbean. The company maintains a presence in multiple countries throughout the region, providing discount retail services through its warehouse format stores.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, PSMT is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

PSMT currently ranks #61 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $197.13
Sector: Consumer Defensive
12-month range: $116.65–$197.13

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for PSMT

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for PSMT, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $116.65–$197.13.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 42.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for PSMT
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent PSMT news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for PSMT is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

BJ’s Wholesale Club Is Turning Stronger Fundamentals Into a Bullish Setup (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-24)
TickrTrends take: BJ's Wholesale Club's strengthening fundamentals could create tension with TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment of PSMT, suggesting investors should monitor whether operational improvements justify narrowing the valuation gap. A valuation-focused reader tracking this Consumer Defensive stock should watch for evidence of whether enhanced fundamentals translate into earnings growth substantial enough to support current price levels or whether the overvaluation designation persists despite the positive operational trajectory.
PriceSmart: Currency Tailwinds And Political Risk Has Decreased (NASDAQ:PSMT) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-14)
TickrTrends take: PriceSmart operates as a discount retailer in the Consumer Defensive sector, where stable cash flows and predictable demand typically support moderate valuation multiples. TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued, suggesting that any near-term benefits from currency movements or reduced political uncertainty may already be reflected in the current price. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether PSMT's operational metrics and earnings growth can justify its present valuation level, or if external tailwinds prove temporary relative to its fundamental worth.
PriceSmart Stock: Omnichannel Momentum Could Drive The Next Leg Higher (NASDAQ:PSMT) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-07-22)
TickrTrends take: PriceSmart operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, which typically attracts investors seeking stable valuations rather than growth premiums. TickrTrends currently derives an Overvalued verdict for PSMT, suggesting the stock's current price may not fully account for execution risks associated with omnichannel expansion initiatives. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether management can demonstrate that omnichannel investments generate sufficient margin improvement and customer retention to justify the company's current valuation multiple.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is PSMT stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), PSMT is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is PSMT's TickrTrends verdict?

PSMT's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does PSMT compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?

PSMT ranks #61 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is PSMT overbought or oversold?

PSMT's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Defensive fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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