Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Constellation Brands, Inc. is a beverage company that produces and markets beer, wine, and spirits products. The company operates primarily in the United States and Mexico, with distribution networks extending to international markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, STZ is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

STZ currently ranks #6 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $128.18
Sector: Consumer Defensive
12-month range: $130.23–$156.56

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: C
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Undervalued

What our data shows for STZ

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for STZ, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $130.23–$156.56.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 44.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for STZ
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent STZ news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for STZ is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Constellation Brands to redeem $600M notes (NYSE:STZ) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: Constellation Brands announced a redemption of 600 million dollars in notes, which represents a capital management action that could affect the company's debt structure and interest expense profile going forward. For investors focused on valuation metrics, this redemption warrants attention to how the company finances this transaction and whether it impacts leverage ratios or cash flow available for dividends and buybacks. TickrTrends currently identifies STZ as undervalued within the Consumer Defensive sector, making the financial implications of this debt reduction relevant to assessing the sustainability of that valuation assessment.
Constellation Brands Announces Delivery of Notice of Redemption for 4.350% Senior Notes Due 2027 (manilatimes.net, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: Constellation Brands' redemption of its senior notes represents a refinancing activity that could affect the company's capital structure and debt profile. Given that TickrTrends currently rates STZ as undervalued within the Consumer Defensive sector, investors focused on valuation should monitor how this debt management decision influences the company's leverage ratios and financial flexibility going forward. The redemption activity, combined with the current undervalued assessment, suggests there may be opportunity to evaluate whether the company's debt reduction strategy supports improved returns on shareholder capital.
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) Presents at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: Constellation Brands' presentation at the Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference provides an opportunity for investors to assess management's strategic positioning within the competitive beverage and spirits market. As a company in the Consumer Defensive sector currently identified as undervalued by TickrTrends, the conference remarks may illuminate whether STZ's market valuation reflects the company's operational performance and growth initiatives. Investors focused on valuation should monitor management commentary regarding pricing power, volume trends, and competitive dynamics to determine if the undervalued assessment aligns with fundamental business developments.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is STZ stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), STZ is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is STZ's TickrTrends verdict?

STZ's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does STZ compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?

STZ ranks #6 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is STZ overbought or oversold?

STZ's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Defensive fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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