Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
STZ price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedSTZ is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $122.64
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $112.77–$166.68
- Market cap
- $20.8B
- From 52-week high
- -26.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 169M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #7 of 61
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Constellation Brands, Inc. is a beverage company that produces and markets beer, wine, and spirits products. The company operates primarily in the United States and Mexico, with distribution networks extending to international markets.
STZ currently ranks #7 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $20.8B
- P/E (trailing)
- 10x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $9.21B
- Net margin
- 20.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $12.13
- Gross margin
- 52.9%
- Debt / equity
- 0.01
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 2.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 169M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 68 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $125.54
- 200-day average
- $142.46
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $4.10 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 3.34%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 10
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-07-30
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-13
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-08 ▲ beat (+3.3%)
2026-05 ▲ beat (+6.5%)
2026-02 ▲ beat (+11.1%)
2025-11 ▲ beat (+16.3%)
2025-08 ▲ beat (+6.5%)
2025-05 ▼ miss (-2.1%)
2025-02 ▲ beat (+15.9%)
2024-11 ▼ miss (-1.8%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 14 buy · 8 hold · 2 sell (24 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $151
- Target vs last price
- +23.1%
What our data shows for STZ
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for STZ, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $112.77–$166.68.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 68.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for STZ
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent STZ news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for STZ is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- A Look at Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) After 3.1% Gain -- GF Value $173.02 vs Price $126.40 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
TickrTrends take: Constellation Brands is trading at a significant discount to its GF Value estimate, with the stock priced at $126 compared to a calculated value of $173, suggesting potential upside for value-oriented investors. The recent 3% gain has not yet closed this valuation gap, leaving the stock in line with TickrTrends' undervalued assessment within the Consumer Defensive sector. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether the company's fundamentals support the GF Value estimate and track how much of this gap the market may eventually close. - Constellation Brands Inc (STZ): What a GF Score of 65 Says About the Stock (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
TickrTrends take: Constellation Brands receives a GF Score of 65, which falls in the middle range of the scoring spectrum and suggests mixed fundamental characteristics. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that STZ is undervalued, this moderate score indicates the stock may offer value despite not showing exceptionally strong fundamental metrics across all measures. Investors focused on valuation in the Consumer Defensive sector should monitor whether improving fundamentals might eventually support a higher quality score alongside the current undervalued positioning. - Jim Cramer Takes a Fresh Look at Constellation (STZ) Brands After an Unexpected Reversal (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-11)
TickrTrends take: Constellation Brands operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, which typically attracts investors seeking stable cash flows and dividend potential during economic uncertainty. TickrTrends currently identifies STZ as undervalued, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the company's fundamental value relative to its peers in the defensive consumer space. A renewed focus from prominent market observers could test whether the current valuation gap reflects genuine opportunity or if it signals underlying business challenges that justify a lower market multiple.
What people are saying
Follow the STZ conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — STZ's valuation indicators shifted notably this week toward a more favorable assessment. The DCF cross-check band moved from overvalued to undervalued, while balance-sheet leverage improved from moderate to low and the quality grade rose from D to B, suggesting strengthening financial fundamentals. Additionally, revenue growth advanced from declining to modest, and the RSI zone moved from oversold to neutral, reflecting a stabilizing technical position. The current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for STZ shifted this week as the RSI zone moved from neutral to oversold. The stock remains positioned in the Consumer Defensive sector and currently carries an undervalued valuation verdict according to the platform's analysis.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is STZ stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), STZ is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is STZ's TickrTrends verdict?
STZ's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does STZ compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
STZ ranks #7 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is STZ overbought or oversold?
STZ's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does STZ pay a dividend?
Yes. STZ paid $4.10 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 3.34% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 10 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-07-30.
Does STZ usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters STZ beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about STZ?
Of 24 analysts covering STZ, 14 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 2 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $151 (+23.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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