The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

The Simply Good Foods Company is a consumer packaged foods company that produces and markets nutritious snack foods, bars, and other food products designed to appeal to health-conscious consumers. The company operates primarily in the United States, where it manufactures, distributes, and sells its products through retail channels including supermarkets, convenience stores, and other food retailers.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, SMPL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

SMPL currently ranks #2 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $11.32
Sector: Consumer Defensive
12-month range: $11.32–$24.82

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Downtrend
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range

What our data shows for SMPL

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SMPL, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $11.32–$24.82.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 55.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SMPL
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent SMPL news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SMPL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

ROSEN, TRUSTED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages The Simply Good Foods Company Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action - SMPL (markets.businessinsider.com, 2026-09-06)
TickrTrends take: The Simply Good Foods Company is trading at an undervalued level according to TickrTrends analysis within the Consumer Defensive sector, which typically features stable demand characteristics. The announced securities class action introduces legal risk that investors should monitor for potential financial impact, as litigation outcomes can affect shareholder value and capital allocation. Valuation-focused investors should track developments in this case alongside SMPL's operational performance to assess whether the current undervaluation reflects appropriate compensation for the legal uncertainties now facing the company.
ROSEN, TOP RANKED GLOBAL COUNSEL, Encourages The Simply Good Foods Company Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action - SMPL (markets.businessinsider.com, 2026-09-05)
TickrTrends take: The Simply Good Foods Company faces a securities class action that could have material financial implications, which valuation-focused investors should monitor for potential impact on future earnings and liabilities. TickrTrends currently rates SMPL as undervalued within the Consumer Defensive sector, though the outcome and costs associated with this legal action represent a risk factor that could influence the company's financial position and reassessment of that valuation standing. Investors tracking this situation should watch for any disclosure updates regarding settlement amounts or legal expenses that could affect the company's reported results.
ROSEN, RECOGNIZED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages The Simply Good Foods Company Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action - SMPL (markets.businessinsider.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: The Simply Good Foods Company operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, which typically attracts investors seeking stability during market volatility. TickrTrends currently rates SMPL as undervalued, suggesting potential upside if the company's fundamentals remain sound amid the securities class action development. Investors monitoring SMPL should track how legal proceedings progress, as material litigation outcomes could either validate the undervalued assessment or alter the company's risk profile going forward.

What people are saying

Follow the SMPL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is SMPL stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), SMPL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is SMPL's TickrTrends verdict?

SMPL's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does SMPL compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?

SMPL ranks #2 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is SMPL overbought or oversold?

SMPL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Defensive fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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