Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. operates a chain of grocery stores that emphasize natural, organic, and specialty food products across the United States. The company focuses on providing fresh produce, bulk items, vitamins, and health-focused products to consumers seeking alternatives to conventional supermarkets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, SFM is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

SFM currently ranks #46 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $88.81
Sector: Consumer Defensive
12-month range: $69.59–$107.16

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Strong
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Undervalued

What our data shows for SFM

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SFM, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $69.59–$107.16.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 45.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SFM
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent SFM news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SFM is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Sprouts Farmers Market names next CEO (NASDAQ:SFM) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Sprouts Farmers Market's leadership transition comes at a time when TickrTrends rates the company as fairly valued within the Consumer Defensive sector, suggesting the market has already priced in current expectations for operational performance. Investors monitoring the valuation should pay attention to whether the new CEO's strategic direction produces changes in growth trajectory or margin performance that might justify a shift from the fair value assessment. Leadership announcements in this sector often become catalysts for re-evaluation, particularly if the incoming executive signals meaningful shifts in store expansion, pricing strategy, or operational efficiency.
SFM Maintained by Evercore ISI Group -- Price Target Raised to $95 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Evercore ISI Group's decision to raise its price target on SFM to $95 while maintaining its rating suggests analyst confidence in the company's fundamentals without signaling an imminent breakout. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that SFM is fairly valued, investors should monitor whether the stock moves toward this new $95 target, which would indicate the market is pricing in the analyst's positive view of the Consumer Defensive company. The gap between current valuation and the raised price target may offer insight into how much upside potential the market has already incorporated into SFM's shares.
Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) Stock Has Crashed: Is It a Buy Now? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Sprouts Farmers Market operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, which typically attracts investors seeking stable, less volatile holdings during uncertain market conditions. TickrTrends currently assesses SFM as fairly valued, suggesting that recent price weakness may already reflect much of the negative sentiment rather than presenting an obvious discount opportunity. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the stock's decline has created a meaningful gap between its price and underlying fundamentals, or whether fair value pricing remains appropriate given current market conditions.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for SFM showed a shift this week, with the DCF cross-check band moving from fairly valued to undervalued. This adjustment reflects a change in the valuation assessment based on the company's discounted cash flow analysis. The overall valuation verdict remains fairly valued according to current indicators.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is SFM stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), SFM is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is SFM's TickrTrends verdict?

SFM's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does SFM compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?

SFM ranks #46 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is SFM overbought or oversold?

SFM's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Defensive fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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