Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
SFM price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedSFM is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $65.20
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $62.49–$106.80
- Market cap
- $6.08B
- From 52-week high
- -39.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 93.2M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #12 of 61
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. operates a chain of grocery stores that emphasize natural, organic, and specialty food products across the United States. The company focuses on providing fresh produce, bulk items, vitamins, and health-focused products to consumers seeking alternatives to conventional supermarkets.
SFM currently ranks #12 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 6 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $6.08B
- P/E (trailing)
- 12x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $9B
- Net margin
- 5.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $5.22
- Gross margin
- 38.7%
- Debt / equity
- 1.40
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 11.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 93.2M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 42 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $73.77
- 200-day average
- $77.14
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-28 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+1.5%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+2.4%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+3.9%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+4.3%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+8.9%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+16.8%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+7.5%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+18.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 9 buy · 6 hold · 1 sell (16 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $93.6
- Target vs last price
- +43.6%
What our data shows for SFM
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SFM, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $62.49–$106.80.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 42.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SFM
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent SFM news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SFM is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- SFM Maintained by RBC Capital -- Price Target Lowered to $111.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: RBC Capital's recent price target adjustment to SFM reflects analyst reassessment of the company's near-term prospects, though TickrTrends currently identifies the stock as undervalued within the Consumer Defensive sector. For valuation-focused investors, the divergence between RBC's target and TickrTrends' assessment suggests watching how the market reconciles these perspectives and whether fundamentals support a rerating upward from current levels. The maintenance of coverage by a major analyst despite the target reduction indicates continued institutional interest in monitoring SFM's execution in a defensive business segment. - Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value (AVUV) Adds Sprouts, Lyft on Tuesday (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: SFM's inclusion in the Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF reflects investor recognition of value characteristics within the small-cap consumer defensive space. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, the addition to AVUV may signal institutional validation of SFM's current valuation relative to its fundamentals, potentially attracting value-focused capital flows to the stock. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should observe whether this ETF inclusion correlates with shifts in SFM's trading volume and price relative to the broader small-cap value category. - What Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF (AVUV) Bought: LYFT Leads on Oct. 12 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: SFM currently trades at a valuation that TickrTrends has identified as undervalued within the Consumer Defensive sector, which provides a baseline for assessing its relative value positioning. The recent activity in small-cap value funds like AVUV suggests continued institutional interest in undervalued opportunities across market segments, though such fund flows do not directly indicate SFM's inclusion or weighting. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether SFM maintains its undervalued classification as market conditions and the company's fundamentals evolve.
More SFM news
- Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF (AVUV) Buys $4 Million More Sprouts on Oct. 8 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know (zacks.com, 2026-10-08)
- Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF (AVUV) Adds Sprouts Farmers Market and Sonoco Products on Sept. 28 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
What people are saying
Follow the SFM conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for SFM showed a shift this week as the RSI zone moved from oversold to neutral territory. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict according to current analysis. This movement suggests a change in momentum positioning within the Consumer Defensive sector.
- 2026-10-05 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for SFM in the Consumer Defensive sector shifted this week, with the 50/200-day trend state moving from mixed to downtrend. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict based on current analysis.
- 2026-09-28 — SFM has experienced several notable shifts in its technical and valuation metrics this week. The 50/200-day trend state has declined from an uptrend to a mixed condition, while the RSI zone has moved into oversold territory from a neutral position, suggesting increased downward momentum. Concurrently, the stock's sector discount rank has improved significantly from 40th to 15th position, and the valuation verdict has shifted from Fairly valued to Undervalued, indicating the stock now trades at a more attractive price relative to its fundamentals within the Consumer Defensive sector.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is SFM stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), SFM is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is SFM's TickrTrends verdict?
SFM's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does SFM compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
SFM ranks #12 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is SFM overbought or oversold?
SFM's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does SFM report earnings next?
SFM's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-28 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does SFM usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters SFM beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about SFM?
Of 16 analysts covering SFM, 9 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $93.6 (+43.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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