State Street Corporation (STT) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
STT price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedSTT is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $174.96
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $112.84–$194.26
- Market cap
- $48.1B
- From 52-week high
- -9.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 275M
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #125 of 167
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
State Street Corporation is a financial services company that provides custody, administration, and trading services for financial assets, as well as offering investment management and research capabilities. The company operates globally with a significant presence across the United States, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other international markets.
STT currently ranks #125 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $48.1B
- P/E (trailing)
- 13x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $23.3B
- Net margin
- 15.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $13.15
- Gross margin
- 66.2%
- Debt / equity
- 0.91
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 7.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 275M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 21 · oversold
- 50-day average
- $183.97
- 200-day average
- $157.06
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $3.44 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.97%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-01
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-13
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-09 ▲ beat (+1.1%)
2026-06 ▲ beat (+10.6%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+7.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+4.6%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+4.9%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+7.2%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+1.5%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+6.6%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 9 buy · 6 hold · 1 sell (16 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $193
- Target vs last price
- +10.3%
What our data shows for STT
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for STT, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $112.84–$194.26.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 21.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for STT
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent STT news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for STT is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- State Street (STT) Reports Strong Q3 Earnings with 33% EPS Growth Amid Valuation Concerns (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: State Street reported 33 percent earnings per share growth in Q3, which represents substantial operational performance improvement for the Financial Services sector company. However, TickrTrends' current derived verdict rates STT as overvalued, suggesting that the stock's market price may not fully align with this earnings growth when evaluated against traditional valuation metrics. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether upcoming quarterly results can sustain this earnings momentum or if current stock pricing will need to adjust downward to reflect normalized earnings multiples. - State Street Corporation (STT) Tops Q3 Earnings Estimates (zacks.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: State Street Corporation exceeded third quarter earnings expectations, which typically supports near-term stock performance. However, TickrTrends' current valuation assessment rates STT as overvalued within the Financial Services sector, suggesting that recent earnings strength may already be reflected in the current stock price. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's earnings momentum can justify its existing valuation premium or whether any pullback toward fair value may occur. - State Street Q3 2026 Earnings Preview (NYSE:STT) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-12)
TickrTrends take: State Street's Q3 2026 earnings report will provide concrete data on whether the company can justify its current market valuation, which TickrTrends assesses as overvalued relative to fundamentals. Investors focused on valuation should monitor revenue trends and profitability metrics to determine if earnings growth is sufficient to support the stock's premium positioning within the Financial Services sector. The earnings preview represents a critical juncture for validating whether STT's current price reflects realistic expectations or continued overvaluation concerns.
More STT news
- Can Seagate’s (STX) AI-Driven Growth Justify Its Sky-High Expectations? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-09)
- STT Maintained by JP Morgan -- Price Target Raised to $187.50 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
What people are saying
Follow the STT conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for STT show a shift this week as the revenue growth band has downgraded from strong to modest. The financial services company currently carries an overvalued valuation verdict according to the latest assessment. This change reflects a moderation in the company's recent revenue trajectory.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for STT show a shift in momentum this week, with the RSI zone moving from neutral to oversold territory. The stock's current valuation verdict remains overvalued. This combination of oversold conditions within an overvalued context may warrant attention from investors monitoring the Financial Services sector.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators show that STT remains overvalued this week. The stock's sector discount rank improved to number 136 from number 142, indicating a modest shift toward better relative valuation within the Financial Services sector.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is STT stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), STT is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is STT's TickrTrends verdict?
STT's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does STT compare to other Financial Services stocks?
STT ranks #125 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is STT overbought or oversold?
STT's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does STT pay a dividend?
Yes. STT paid $3.44 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.97% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-10-01.
Does STT usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters STT beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about STT?
Of 16 analysts covering STT, 9 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $193 (+10.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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