First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates community banks providing retail and commercial banking services, including lending, deposit products, and related financial services. The company operates primarily through its subsidiaries in Illinois and surrounding regions in the Midwest.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, FMBH is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

FMBH currently ranks #132 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $52.50
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $35.28–$52.50

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for FMBH

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for FMBH, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $35.28–$52.50.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 51.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for FMBH
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent FMBH news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for FMBH is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

First Mid Names Matt Smith CEO and President; Joe Dively to Transition to Executive Chairman as Part of Planned Succession (manilatimes.net, 2026-04-29)
TickrTrends take: First Mid Bancorp's leadership transition, with Matt Smith assuming the CEO and President role while Joe Dively moves to Executive Chairman, represents a significant organizational change at a time when TickrTrends rates the stock as overvalued. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how this succession impacts the company's operational efficiency and profitability, as leadership changes can influence near-term performance and shareholder returns in the Financial Services sector. The market's reception to this transition and any subsequent updates on strategic direction will be important indicators for assessing whether the current overvalued assessment remains justified.
First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Completes Acquisition of Two Rivers Financial Group, Inc. (manilatimes.net, 2026-03-02)
TickrTrends take: First Mid Bancshares, Inc. has completed its acquisition of Two Rivers Financial Group, Inc., marking a consolidation move within the Financial Services sector. Given that TickrTrends currently rates FMBH as overvalued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how this acquisition affects earnings per share accretion or dilution, as well as any changes to the company's price-to-book and price-to-earnings ratios in coming quarters. The integration costs and potential synergies from this deal will be important factors in determining whether the current valuation assessment holds or shifts as financial results are reported.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is FMBH stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), FMBH is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is FMBH's TickrTrends verdict?

FMBH's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does FMBH compare to other Financial Services stocks?

FMBH ranks #132 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is FMBH overbought or oversold?

FMBH's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

FMBH vs CATY · FMBH vs CCNE · FMBH vs CHCO · FMBH vs EFSC · FMBH vs HBT