McDonald's Corporation (MCD) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

McDonald's Corporation operates a global system of fast-food restaurants that serve hamburgers, chicken products, breakfast items, and beverages to millions of customers daily. The company maintains restaurants across more than 100 countries on six continents, making it one of the world's largest restaurant chains by geographic reach and customer volume.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, MCD is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

MCD currently ranks #29 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $255.69
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $261.11–$332.96

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: A
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for MCD

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MCD, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $261.11–$332.96.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 31.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MCD
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent MCD news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MCD is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Labor Day 7 September 2026: What is open and what is closed in the US today? (livemint.com, 2026-09-07)
TickrTrends take: McDonald's operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which typically experiences sensitivity to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns. TickrTrends currently assesses MCD as undervalued, suggesting potential opportunity for investors focused on value metrics. Investors monitoring the stock should consider how labor-related events and operational considerations around peak consumer days like Labor Day might influence same-store sales performance and labor cost pressures in the coming quarters.
2 Dow Jones Stocks Down Over 20% I'd Buy on the Dip (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-30)
TickrTrends take: McDonald's appears in a list of Dow Jones stocks that have declined significantly, which aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock trades below its valuation fair value. For investors focused on valuation metrics, a substantial pullback in a Consumer Cyclical stock like MCD warrants examination of whether the decline reflects temporary market weakness or fundamental deterioration in the business. Those tracking valuation-based opportunities should monitor whether the company's underlying earnings power and cash generation remain intact relative to the reduced stock price.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for MCD show a shift in momentum classification this week, with the momentum indicator moving from a D rating to none. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued for the McDonald's Corporation stock in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is MCD stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), MCD is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is MCD's TickrTrends verdict?

MCD's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does MCD compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

MCD ranks #29 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is MCD overbought or oversold?

MCD's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

MCD vs AMZN · MCD vs BALL · MCD vs EYE · MCD vs FIVE · MCD vs LKQ