Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) fair value analysis

S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Arch Capital Group Ltd. is an insurance and reinsurance company that provides property, casualty, and specialty insurance products to clients worldwide. The company operates through subsidiaries in multiple countries and serves customers in North America, Europe, Asia, and other international markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, ACGL is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

ACGL currently ranks #66 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $98.10
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $86.00–$101.12

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: A
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: High
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The top quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Undervalued

What our data shows for ACGL

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ACGL, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $86.00–$101.12.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 45.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ACGL
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is ACGL stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), ACGL is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is ACGL's TickrTrends verdict?

ACGL's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does ACGL compare to other Financial Services stocks?

ACGL ranks #66 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is ACGL overbought or oversold?

ACGL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

ACGL vs BANF · ACGL vs CB · ACGL vs CFFN · ACGL vs CME · ACGL vs FHB